Showing posts with label PLoS Medicine. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PLoS Medicine. Show all posts

Sunday, December 2, 2012

Re: Why Most Published Research Findings Are False

Some blog followers might be interested in a recent post “Re: Why Most Published Research Findings Are False” [Hake (2012a)]. The abstract reads:

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ABSTRACT: In “The Randomistas’ War On Global Poverty - ERRATUM & ADDENDUM” [Hake (2012b] at http://bit.ly/YfMESg I pointed to:

(a) a PLoS Medicine article by John Ioannidis (2005) http://bit.ly/Vb1u70 titled “Why Most Published Research Findings Are False” at http://1.usa.gov/YxUxkL, brought to my attention by Guy Brandenberg; and

(b) a good discussion of the important work of Ioannidis in the Atlantic: “Lies, Damned Lies, and Medical Science” by David Freedman (2010) at http://bit.ly/11aAmt0. Freedman wrote that Ioannidis (2005):

(1) claims that as much as 90 percent of the published medical information that doctors rely on is flawed;

(2) states that randomized controlled trials. . . . ended up being wrong some of the time;

(3) laid out a detailed mathematical proof that, assuming modest levels of researcher bias, typically imperfect research techniques, and the well-known tendency to focus on exciting rather than highly plausible theories, researchers will come up with wrong findings most of the time;

(4) is the most downloaded article in the history of PLoS Medicine.

BTW: Freedman claims that meta-research experts have confirmed that similar issues distort research in all fields of science, from physics to economics (where DeLong & Lang at http://bit.ly/SpNMww showed how a remarkably consistent paucity of strong evidence in published economics studies made it unlikely that any of them were right).
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To access the complete 9 kB post please click on http://bit.ly/Ve4Qnk.

Richard Hake, Emeritus Professor of Physics, Indiana University
Links to Articles: http://bit.ly/a6M5y0
Links to Socratic Dialogue Inducing (SDI) Labs: http://bit.ly/9nGd3M
Academia: http://bit.ly/a8ixxm
Blog: http://bit.ly/9yGsXh
GooglePlus: http://bit.ly/KwZ6mE
Twitter: http://bit.ly/juvd52

“It is not enough to observe, experiment, theorize, calculate and communicate; we must also argue, criticize, debate, expound, summarize, and otherwise transform the information that we have obtained individually into reliable, well established, public knowledge.”
- John Ziman. 1969. "Information, Communication, Knowledge," Nature 224: 318-324; abstract online at http://bit.ly/cNPB1d.

REFERENCES [URL’s shortened by http://bit.ly/ and accessed on 02 Dec 2012.]
Hake, R.R. 2012a. “Re: Why Most Published Research Findings Are False,” online on the OPEN! AERA-L archives at http://bit.ly/Ve4Qnk. Post of 02 Dec 2012 11:39:22-0800 to AERA-L and Net-Gold. The abstract and link to the complete post are being transmitted to several discussion lists.

Hake, R.R. 2012b. “The Randomistas’ War On Global Poverty - ERRATUM & ADDENDUM,” online on the OPEN! AERA-L archives at http://bit.ly/YfMESg. Post of 30 Nov 2012 12:15:33-0800 to AERA-L and Net-Gold. The abstract and link to the complete post are being transmitted to several discussion lists and are also on my blog “Hake'sEdStuff” at http://bit.ly/11c5w3e with a provision for comments.






Friday, November 30, 2012

The Randomistas' War On Global Poverty - ERRATUM & ADDENDUM

Some blog followers might be interested in a recent post “The Randomistas’ War On Global Poverty - ERRATUM & ADDENDUM” [Hake (2012a)]. The abstract reads:

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ABSTRACT: My post “The Randomistas' War On Global Poverty” [Hake (2012b)] at http://bit.ly/V93tXl:

I. Contains an ERRATUM: I wrote: “. . . . . there's no indication that the ‘Center for Economic and Policy Research’ (CEPR) http://bit.ly/U1DTSU, FOR WHICH DUFLO IS A PROGRAM DIRECTOR FOR DEVELOPMENTAL ECONOMICS http://bit.ly/VgQ3y8, is aware of the overriding influence of poverty on the educational achievement of U.S. children. . . .” Contrary to that statement, Duflo is a program director for the EUROPEAN “Centre for Economic Policy Research” http://www.cepr.org/ & http://bit.ly/TwYuzM, NOT the U.S. “Center for Economic and Policy Research” (CEPR) http://www.cepr.net/ & http://bit.ly/U1DTSU. So Duflo bares ZERO responsibility for the U.S. CEPR’s seeming unawareness of “the overriding influence of poverty on the educational achievement of U.S. children.”

II. Now requires an ADDENDUM: In response to Hake (2012), Guy Brandenberg (2012) of the EDDRA2 list pointed to a PLoS Medicine article by John Ioannidis http://bit.ly/Vb1u70 titled “Why Most Published Research Findings Are False” at http://1.usa.gov/YxUxkL, wherein Ioannidis wrote: “. . . . there is strong evidence that selective outcome reporting, with manipulation of the outcomes and analyses reported, is a common problem even for randomized trails [Chan et al. (2004)] at http://1.usa.gov/X8SB1T.” For a good discussion of the important work of Ioannidis see the Atlantic article “Lies, Damned Lies, and Medical Science” by David Freedman (2010) at http://bit.ly/11aAmt0.
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To access the complete 9 kB post please click on http://bit.ly/YfMESg.


Richard Hake, Emeritus Professor of Physics, Indiana University
Links to Articles: http://bit.ly/a6M5y0
Links to Socratic Dialogue Inducing (SDI) Labs: http://bit.ly/9nGd3M
Academia: http://bit.ly/a8ixxm
Blog: http://bit.ly/9yGsXh
GooglePlus: http://bit.ly/KwZ6mE
Twitter: http://bit.ly/juvd52

REFERENCES [URL shortened by http://bit.ly/ and accessed on 30 Nov 2012.]
Hake, R.R. 2012a. “The Randomistas’ War On Global Poverty - ERRATUM & ADDENDUM,” online on the OPEN! AERA-L archives at http://bit.ly/YfMESg. Post of 30 Nov 2012 12:15:33-0800 to AERA-L and Net-Gold. The abstract and link to the complete post are being transmitted to several discussion lists.

Hake, R.R. 2012b. “The Randomistas’ War On Global Poverty (was Chocolate Makes You Smart),” online on the OPEN! AERA-L archives at http://bit.ly/V93tXl. Post of 29 Nov 2012 14:27:16-0800 to AERA-L and Net-Gold. The abstract and link to the complete post are being transmitted to several discussion lists and are also on my blog “Hake'sEdStuff” at http://bit.ly/Rm6Oqw with a provision for comments.